Kent State vs Western Michigan 10/16/2021

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Kent State winning 44% of simulations, and Western Michigan 56% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Kent State commits fewer turnovers in 31% of simulations and they go on to win 52% when they take care of the ball. Western Michigan wins 67% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Dustin Crum is averaging 270 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (45% chance) then he helps his team win 52%. Kaleb Eleby is averaging 273 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (42% chance) then he helps his team win 66%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is WMICH -6.5 --- Over/Under line is 63.5
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